Discover how the buy-now-pay-later (BNPL) payment method tricks your brain into spending more than you can afford. Backed by Macquarie University research, learn the psychological mechanisms behind BNPL spending and how to protect your financial future.
You
know that feeling when you're about to buy something, and right before you
click "purchase," a little voice in your head whispers, "You
probably shouldn't." That voice? That's your financial survival instinct.
That's generations of human caution encoded in your DNA. That's the only thing
standing between you and financial ruin.
But
here's the problem: buy-now-pay-later services have figured out how to silence
that voice completely.
I'm
not here to sell you on some get-rich-quick scheme or tell you to cut up all
your credit cards and live in a cave eating beans. I'm here to show you the
truth about how these modern payment methods are rewiring your brain—and not in
a good way.
Let
me take you inside some groundbreaking research that proves exactly why you're
spending more than you realize when you use buy-now-pay-later. And more
importantly, I'm going to show you how to take back control.
THE RESEARCH THAT EXPOSED THE TRUTH
Back
in 2019, a researcher named Rhys Ashby at Macquarie University in Australia
asked himself a question that should concern every single one of us: What
actually happens inside our brains when we use buy-now-pay-later services?
You
see, the Australian government had just released a report showing that 64% of
consumers admitted they spent more when using buy-now-pay-later. But here's the
thing about self-reported data—people are terrible at knowing why they do what
they do. We're walking around with all these blind spots, convinced we're
rational creatures making logical decisions, when in reality, our brains are
being hijacked by forces we don't even understand.
So
Ashby designed three experiments to get to the bottom of it. And what he found
should make you sit up straight in your chair.
But
before I dive into the research, let me ask you something: Have you ever bought
something with Afterpay, Klarna, or Zip and thought, "It's only four
payments of $25—that's basically nothing"?
THE NUMEROSITY TRAP: WHY YOUR BRAIN CAN'T DO MATH
Here's
where it gets interesting. There's this thing in psychology called the numerosity
effect. It's a fancy term for something embarrassingly simple: humans judge
quantities based on numbers, not units.
Let
me give you an example. Which weighs more: 4 kilograms or 4,000 grams?
If
you're like most people, your gut says 4,000 grams weighs more. But it's the
exact same thing. Your brain latches onto the bigger number—4,000—and ignores
the unit—grams. You know better intellectually, but your gut feeling doesn't
care about your intellect.
Now
apply this to money.
When
you see a $100 item priced as four payments of $25, your brain doesn't process
$100. It processes $25. Four times. But each time, it's just $25. And $25 feels
like nothing. It feels like dinner out. It feels like a few drinks with
friends. It feels... manageable.
This
is not an accident. This is by design.
The
researchers found that participants who saw prices as instalments perceived the
purchase as significantly less expensive than those who saw the total price.
Same item. Same total cost. Different perception.
And
here's the kicker: this lower perceived expensiveness led to lower pain of
payment.
THE PAIN YOU DON'T FEEL ANYMORE
Let
me tell you about pain—specifically, the pain of paying.
When
you hand over cash for something, there's this physical sensation of loss. You
feel the bills leave your hand. You see your wallet get thinner. Your brain
registers: Something valuable just left my possession.
That
pain? It's there for a reason. It's your brain's way of saying, "Hey, are
you sure about this? Because once this money is gone, it's GONE."
But
credit cards started dulling that pain years ago. Instead of handing over
physical money, you swipe a piece of plastic. The pain still exists—you'll feel
it when the bill comes—but it's delayed. It's muffled. It's like wearing
noise-cancelling headphones while someone tries to warn you about a cliff.
Buy-now-pay-later
takes this to an entirely new level.
In
Study 2 of the research, participants were asked about getting a dental filling
for $180. Half were told they'd pay cash. Half were told they'd use
buy-now-pay-later—four payments of $45.
The
results? The cash group felt significantly more pain about paying. They rated
the purchase as more expensive. They were less likely to go through with it.
The
buy-now-pay-later group? They felt just fine about the whole thing. The pain
was gone. Poof. Vanished.
And
here's what scares me: The researchers ran the numbers through a mediation
analysis and found that the entire effect was explained by perceived
expensiveness and pain of payment. In plain English: BNPL doesn't just make
paying easier—it literally changes how expensive things seem to you.
THE FOUR EXPERIMENTS THAT PROVE YOU'RE BEING MANIPULATED
Let
me walk you through what the researchers actually found, because the numbers
tell a story that should make you angry.
Study 1: The Party Menu
Sixty
people were asked to order food for a party. Half were told they'd pay with
credit cards. Half were told they'd use buy-now-pay-later. The menu showed the
same items, but the BNPL group saw each item with its instalment price—"$58
or 4 payments of $14.50"—right next to it.
The
BNPL group spent 19.5% more money. They ordered more items. They didn't buy
more expensive items—they just bought MORE. More food they probably didn't
need. More waste. More future payments.
And
before you say, "Well, that's just because BNPL is new and novel,"
the researchers checked for that. They measured price novelty. There was no
significant difference. This wasn't about shiny-object syndrome. This was about
the numerosity effect in action.
Study 2: The Dentist Visit
One
hundred people were asked about getting a dental filling for $180. Half would
pay cash. Half would use BNPL—four payments of $45.
The
BNPL group rated the purchase as less expensive (3.92 vs. 4.71 on a 7-point
scale), felt less pain about paying (2.76 vs. 4.43) and were significantly more
likely to go through with the purchase (5.55 vs. 4.80).
Think
about what that means. A necessary medical procedure—something that could
prevent future pain and more expensive treatment—was significantly more likely
to happen when people could trick themselves into thinking it cost less than it
actually did.
But
here's the part that keeps me up at night: The researchers ran a serial
mediation analysis. They found that the entire effect of BNPL on purchase
intent was explained by perceived expensiveness and pain of payment. The
payment method itself didn't matter once you accounted for how expensive people
thought the purchase was and how much pain they felt.
This
means BNPL doesn't make you spend more because it's convenient or because you
don't have the money now. It makes you spend more because it literally changes
your perception of reality.
Study 3: The Hotel Room
Three
hundred people were asked to choose between two hotel rooms for a weekend
getaway. One was $216 for three nights. One was $288—33% more expensive.
But
here's the twist: Half the people saw the prices as four payments ($54 vs.
$72). Half saw them as eight payments ($27 vs. $36). Same total prices. Same
difference between rooms. Different number of payments.
When
people saw eight payments instead of four, significantly more chose the
expensive room.
Why?
Because the difference between $27 and $36 feels smaller than the difference
between $54 and $72. Even though the actual difference is the same—$18 per
payment, $72 total—the smaller numbers make the price gap seem less
significant.
The
researchers found that:
· People
in the eight-payment condition perceived the expensive room as relatively less
expensive
· They
felt less pain about paying for it
· They
were more likely to choose it
Let
that sink in. The exact same financial decision—the same total cost, the same
difference between options—led to completely different choices based solely on
how the numbers were presented.
This
isn't economics. This isn't rational choice theory. This is your brain being
hacked by people who've spent millions figuring out how to separate you from
your money.
WHY THIS MATTERS FOR YOUR FINANCIAL FUTURE
I'm
going to be blunt with you: The financial services industry doesn't care about
you. They care about transaction volume. They care about user engagement. They
care about shareholder value. And they've discovered that the best way to
increase all of those things is to make spending feel like nothing.
But
here's what they're not telling you: The money still leaves your account. The
payments still come due. And when you stack multiple BNPL purchases across
multiple providers—which 5 in 6 users do, according to the research—you're
building a house of cards that will eventually collapse.
The
Australian Securities and Investments Commission found that the average BNPL
arrangement is $178. That seems small, right? But the average credit card limit
is $9,500. That also seems manageable—until you realize that most people can't
pay off their credit cards in full each month.
Here's
what the numbers actually look like in practice:
|
Payment Method |
Typical Balance |
Repayment Frequency |
Minimum Payment |
|
🛍️Buy-Now-Pay-Later |
$178 |
Every 2 weeks |
25% |
|
💳 Credit Cards |
$3,200 |
Monthly |
3% |
See
what's happening? BNPL gets you in the door with small amounts and fast
repayments. It feels safe because the payments are small and frequent. But when
you have five, six, seven of these arrangements running simultaneously—and the
research shows this is common—you're suddenly managing a complex web of
payments that can easily spiral out of control.
And
unlike credit cards, BNPL providers don't verify your ability to repay. No
credit checks. No income verification. Just instant approval and the implicit
promise that you'll figure it out later.
THE PSYCHOLOGICAL TRAP IN SLOW MOTION
Let
me paint you a picture of how this actually plays out in real life.
Month
One: You buy a pair of shoes for $100. Four payments of $25. No big deal.
You've got $25 in your account right now. The next payment is two weeks away.
Plenty of time.
Month
Two: You're at the store and see a jacket you've wanted. It's $120. Four
payments of $30. You think about the shoes—you're handling those payments just
fine. What's one more? You click "buy."
Month
Three: Your friend's wedding is coming up. You need a gift. You find something
perfect for $80. Four payments of $20. At this point, you've got three BNPL
arrangements running. Total monthly payment commitment: $75 spread across
different schedules. But each individual payment feels small, so you don't
notice.
Month
Four: Your car needs repairs. Unexpected, unavoidable. $400. The shop offers
BNPL. Eight payments of $50. You're stressed about the car, so you take it. Now
you're up to four arrangements. Your weekly payment commitment has quietly
climbed to over $100.
Month
Five: You miss a payment. Late fee: $10. Then another. Another $10. Your credit
score takes a hit. The stress starts building. But here's the thing—you don't
connect the stress to the BNPL purchases because each one seemed so small at
the time.
This
is how financial ruin happens in slow motion. Not with one big purchase, but
with dozens of small ones, each one justified by the same thought: "It's
only four payments of..."
THE MATH THAT MATTERS
Let
me show you what this actually costs you.
Take
that $100 purchase—four payments of $25. If you put that on a credit card with
18% APR and paid the minimum each month, you'd pay about $102.50 total. Not
great, but manageable.
With
BNPL, if you make all payments on time, you pay exactly $100. That's actually
better than credit cards. The trap isn't in the interest—it's in the behaviour.
Here's
the real math:
Scenario
A: You buy one item for $100 using BNPL. Four payments of $25. You pay on time.
Total cost: $100.
Scenario
B: You buy five items over six months, each $100, using BNPL. Now you're
managing twenty separate payments across five different schedules. Your average
outstanding balance is $250. You miss one payment—$10 late fee. You miss
another—another $10. You lose track of when payments are due and overdraft your
account—$35 bank fee. Suddenly that $500 in purchases has cost you $555, and
you've got nothing to show for it except five items you probably didn't need.
The
interest isn't the problem. The fragmentation of attention is the problem. When
you break one $500 decision into twenty $25 decisions, you stop making
decisions at all. You just react.
WHAT THE RESEARCH DIDN'T TELL YOU
The
Macquarie study is brilliant, but it only covers what happens at the moment of
purchase. Here's what we still don't know—and what you need to watch out for:
The
Stacking Effect: The research shows that BNPL increases spending on individual
purchases. But what happens when consumers use multiple BNPL services
simultaneously? The Australian data suggests this is the norm, not the
exception. When you're managing payments across Afterpay, Klarna, Zip, and
PayPal Pay in 4, you're not just managing money—you're managing a complex
logistics operation. And humans are terrible at that.
The
Budget Blindness: The researchers note that their studies didn't make budgets
salient. In real life, you have rent, utilities, groceries, and savings goals.
When BNPL payments start competing with those fixed obligations, something has
to give. Usually, it's savings. Then it's groceries. Then it's rent.
The
Quality Illusion: Here's something the research hints at but doesn't fully
explore: When things seem less expensive, we also assume they're lower quality.
What happens when you buy a premium product using BNPL? Does the lower
perceived price undermine the brand's prestige? Does it change how you feel
about owning it? The researchers suggest this could be a real problem for
luxury brands, but it's also a problem for you. If you buy something expensive
but perceive it as cheap, do you value it less? Take care of it less? Replace
it sooner?
The
Post-Purchase Connection: Shah and colleagues found in 2016 that more painful
payments increase psychological connection to purchases. When you work hard for
something, save up, and finally buy it, you treasure it. When you click a
button and it shows up two days later with payments spread out over two months,
do you feel the same connection? Probably not. And when you don't feel
connected to your possessions, you buy more to fill the void.
HOW TO TAKE BACK CONTROL
I've
spent this whole article showing you how the system is rigged against you. Now
let me give you something useful: a practical plan to protect yourself.
1. Reframe Every Instalment as Total Price
This
is non-negotiable. Every time you see "four payments of $X,"
immediately calculate the total. Write it down. Say it out loud. Make it real.
Better
yet, convert it to hours of work. If you make $25 an hour after taxes, that
$100 purchase isn't $25 four times—it's four hours of your life. Would you
trade four hours at your desk for those shoes? Maybe you would. Maybe you
wouldn't. But at least you're making a conscious choice.
2. Create a Unified Payment Tracker
If
you're using BNPL, you need a single place where every payment is tracked. A
spreadsheet. An app. A notebook. Whatever works. But you need to see, at a
glance, exactly how much money is leaving your account each week and when.
The
research shows that fragmentation is the enemy. When you can see all your
payments in one place, you regain perspective. That $25 payment for shoes, $30
for a jacket, and $20 for a gift suddenly look like what they are: $75 leaving
your account this week.
3. Implement a 48-Hour Rule
Here's
a simple rule that will save you thousands: Never use BNPL for an impulse
purchase. If you see something you want, wait 48 hours. Put it in your cart.
Calculate the total cost. Think about where that money would come from if you
had to pay it all today.
If
you still want it after 48 hours, and you've accounted for it in your budget,
buy it. But most things won't survive that 48-hour window. The urgency will
fade. The numerosity effect will wear off. And you'll realize you didn't need
it at all.
4. Budget by Week, Not by Month
Most
people budget monthly because that's when bills come due. But BNPL payments
happen weekly or bi-weekly. If you're budgeting monthly, you're missing the
timing mismatches that cause overdrafts and late fees.
Instead,
budget weekly. Know exactly how much money is coming in each week and exactly
how much is going out. When you see that your BNPL payments for the week total
$150 and your weekly income is $800, you have clear information about whether
you can afford that next purchase.
5. Cap Your Active Arrangements
Decide
ahead of time how many BNPL arrangements you'll allow at once. Two? Three?
Zero? Write it down. Stick to it.
When
you reach your cap, you have to pay something off before you buy something new.
This creates natural friction in the spending process—friction that gives your
rational brain time to catch up with your impulsive brain.
6. Connect Payments to Consumption
One
of the researchers' insights is that BNPL decouples payment from consumption.
You get the item now, but you pay for it later, in small chunks. This breaks
the natural feedback loop that helps you learn from your spending.
To
fix this, create your own coupling. Every time you make a BNPL payment, look at
the item. Touch it. Remember why you bought it. Ask yourself if you'd make the
same decision today.
If
the answer is no for three consecutive payments, sell the item. Cut your
losses. Learn the lesson.
THE MINDSET
SHIFT THAT CHANGES EVERYTHING
Here's
the truth that no financial advisor will tell you: You don't have a money
problem. You have a perception problem.
You're
not bad at math. You're not irresponsible. You're not weak-willed. You're
human. And you're operating in an environment that's been deliberately designed
to exploit every cognitive vulnerability you have.
The
numerosity effect isn't a character flaw—it's a feature of how human brains
work. The pain of payment isn't something you can just will away—it's an
evolved mechanism that kept your ancestors alive. BNPL services aren't evil for
exploiting these mechanisms—they're just playing the game they're designed to
play.
But
here's the thing: once you understand how the game works, you can change how
you play it.
The
men who build wealth over generations aren't smarter than you. They aren't more
disciplined than you. They've just figured out that financial success is 10%
math and 90% psychology. They've learned to recognize when their perception is
being manipulated and adjust accordingly.
You
can do the same.
Start
small. Next time you're about to click "buy" on a BNPL offer, pause.
Ask yourself: Would I buy this if I had to pay cash today? Would I buy this if
I had to work an extra shift to afford it? Would I buy this if my grandmother
was standing next to me watching?
The
answers might surprise you.
THE BOTTOM LINE
The
Macquarie University research proves what many of us have suspected:
buy-now-pay-later isn't just a payment method—it's a psychological tool that
changes how you perceive value, cost, and your own financial reality.
When
you use BNPL, you're not just deferring payment. You're deferring the pain of
paying. You're fragmenting large decisions into small ones that your brain
doesn't take seriously. You're trading long-term financial health for
short-term gratification.
And
here's the thing that really gets me: the people designing these systems know
exactly what they're doing. They've spent millions on research—research just
like this study—to understand exactly which levers to pull to get you to spend
more. They know about the numerosity effect. They know about pain of payment.
They know that four payments of $25 feels like less than $100, even though it's
exactly the same.
They're
playing chess while you're playing checkers.
The
good news is: once you understand the game, you can start playing chess too.
You can recognize when your perception is being manipulated. You can build
systems that protect you from your own cognitive blind spots. You can make
conscious choices instead of reacting to cleverly designed triggers.
It
starts with awareness. It continues with action. And it pays off in
freedom—freedom from debt, freedom from financial stress, freedom from the
constant feeling that you're falling behind.
The
choice is yours. You can keep playing their game, making small payments that
add up to big regrets. Or you can step back, see the board clearly, and start
making moves that actually serve you.
Which
will it be?
YOUR NEXT MOVE
I've
given you the research, the numbers, and the practical steps. Now it's your
turn.
Take
five minutes right now and log into every BNPL account you have. Add up your
total outstanding balance. Write down every upcoming payment date. Calculate
how much money will leave your account over the next 30 days.
If
that number scares you, good. Fear is a signal. Listen to it.
Then
pick one item from this list that you're going to pay off early. Just one. Cut
into your discretionary spending for the next two weeks and kill that payment.
Feel what it's like to close out an arrangement completely.
Then
do it again.
And
again.
Until
you're free.
Because
that's what this is really about—freedom. Freedom from monthly payments.
Freedom from late fees. Freedom from the constant background hum of financial
anxiety. Freedom to make choices based on what you actually want, not what some
algorithm has convinced you to buy.
The
research shows how the system works. Now you know how to fight back.
Share
this article with someone who needs to hear it. Then come back next week—we're
going to talk about something even more dangerous than BNPL: the retirement
crisis nobody's talking about.
About
the Author: I write about the money, finance, tax, psychology of money and how
to build wealth without losing your soul. Your financial future is worth
fighting for.
References:
Ashby, R. (2019). When Spending More Feels Like Less: The Influence of the
Buy-Now-Pay-Later Payment Method on Consumer Spending Behaviour. Macquarie
University.

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